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通合科技(300491):博物通达,迎AI时代机遇

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 43.7 CNY based on a 2026 PE of 43x [5][62]. Core Insights - The company is positioned in the top four in the domestic market share for charging modules as of 2024, indicating a strong competitive position [1][30]. - The data center HVDC power modules are expected to provide a new growth curve for the company, leveraging technology similarities with existing products [3][48]. - The company plans to accelerate capital expenditures, with a convertible bond issuance aimed at raising up to 520 million CNY for investment in data center power supply systems and module R&D [3][53]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The charging module industry has seen significant consolidation, with the number of major suppliers decreasing from over 30 in 2015 to around 10 by 2023 [2][31]. - The demand for charging modules is driven by the growth in electric vehicle sales, despite a significant drop in prices from approximately 0.8 CNY/watt in 2015 to about 0.13 CNY/watt by the end of 2019 [2][31]. Product Development and Market Position - The company has rapidly iterated its products to meet market demands, introducing high-power and cost-effective charging modules [2][27]. - The company is expanding into other downstream sectors, including smart grids and aerospace, with a focus on domestic production of specialized power supplies [2][36]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 1.33 billion, 1.69 billion, and 2.19 billion CNY, representing growth rates of 10%, 27%, and 30% respectively [4][59]. - The forecasted net profit attributable to the parent company for the same period is 80 million, 180 million, and 260 million CNY, with year-on-year growth rates of 233%, 123%, and 48% [4][59]. Valuation and Comparison - The company is compared favorably against peers, with a projected 2026 PE of 43x, which is higher than competitors like Youyou Green Energy and Shenghong Shares [4][62]. - The report highlights the potential for significant profit growth driven by the data center HVDC power modules and the ongoing demand for specialized power supplies [4][62].