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速腾聚创(02498):业绩改善显著,新业务增长强劲

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Insights - The company has shown significant improvement in performance, with a notable increase in new business growth. For the first half of 2025, it achieved a revenue of 783 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.7%. The net loss attributable to shareholders was reduced to 151 million yuan, a decrease of 43.9% compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin improved from 13.6% in the same period last year to 25.9% [4]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Latest closing price: 42.74 HKD - Total shares: 484 million, circulating shares: 473 million - Total market capitalization: 20.7 billion HKD, circulating market capitalization: 20.2 billion HKD - 52-week high/low: 53.50 / 12.54 HKD - Debt-to-asset ratio: 22.21% - Largest shareholder: BlackPearl Global Limited [3]. Business Segments ADAS Business - Revenue from ADAS-related lidar products reached 500 million yuan in H1 2025. Despite a 6.0% year-on-year decline in overall sales volume to 220,500 units, Q2 2025 saw a 4.6% increase in shipments to 123,800 units. The average price of ADAS lidar decreased from approximately 2,600 yuan to 2,300 yuan due to a higher proportion of lower-priced MX products. The gross margin for ADAS lidar improved from 11.2% to 17.4% [5]. Robotics Business - The robotics segment emerged as a major growth driver, with lidar product revenue reaching 221 million yuan, and sales skyrocketing from 8,900 units in 2024 to 46,300 units, a staggering increase of 420.2%. Q2 2025 sales were 34,400 units, up 631.9% year-on-year. The gross margin for robotics lidar rose from 26.1% to 45.0% [6]. Robotaxi Business - The company has a competitive edge in the Robotaxi sector with its self-developed SPAD-SOC chip and the E platform for solid-state lidar. The first mass-produced solid-state lidar, E1, has been launched, marking a significant step in commercializing solid-state lidar technology. The EM4+E1 product combination has completed mass production validation with eight leading Robotaxi clients, covering over 90% of the global L4 sector [7][8]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2.433 billion yuan in 2025, 3.739 billion yuan in 2026, and 5.221 billion yuan in 2027. The expected net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be -180 million yuan in 2025, 63 million yuan in 2026, and 403 million yuan in 2027 [9][11].