RSPC(SZ:002493) Great Wall Securities·2025-09-16 06:00Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting the stock price to outperform the industry index by more than 15% in the next six months [4][18]. Core Views - The company's performance is under short-term pressure, but it is continuously expanding its industrial chain and deepening international cooperation, which is expected to gradually improve its performance [9][10]. - The petrochemical industry is currently experiencing low profit levels, with the refining and PTA sectors dragging down overall performance. However, policies aimed at reducing "involution" competition are anticipated to promote a recovery in the petrochemical and filament industries [3][8]. Financial Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 148.63 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.83%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.602 billion yuan, down 29.82% year-on-year [1][2]. - The overall gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 13.29%, an increase of 0.89 percentage points compared to the same period in 2024 [2]. - The company’s operating cash flow for the first half of 2025 was 7.587 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.60% year-on-year [2]. Industry Analysis - The petrochemical and polyester fiber industries reported revenues of 128.90 billion yuan and 11.13 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -10.18% and +31.53% [3]. - The refining sector's revenue decreased by 12.42%, while the chemical sector saw a slight increase of 5.46% [3]. - The report highlights that the overall profit in the petrochemical industry remains low, with pressures on revenue expected to persist in the short term due to slowing downstream demand and fluctuations in crude oil prices [3]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 331.43 billion yuan, 355.91 billion yuan, and 365.94 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [10]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1.915 billion yuan, 3.450 billion yuan, and 4.513 billion yuan for the same years [10]. - The report anticipates that the company's earnings per share (EPS) will increase to 0.19 yuan, 0.34 yuan, and 0.45 yuan over the next three years [10].