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申能股份(600642):火电板块支撑业绩,新能源装机规模持续扩张

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price not specified [5] Core Views - The company's performance is supported by the thermal power sector, while the scale of new energy installations continues to expand [1] - The decline in coal prices has improved fuel costs, leading to significant performance enhancement in the coal power segment [2] - The expansion of new energy generation capacity is driving growth in performance [3] - The diversification into gas power, oil and gas transportation, and equity investments enhances the stability of the company's earnings [4] Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 12.958 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.28% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.077 billion yuan, down 5.23% year-on-year [1] - In Q2 2025, operating revenue was 5.620 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.21% year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.066 billion yuan, up 3.29% year-on-year [1] - The coal power segment's controllable power generation was 17.870 billion kWh, a decrease of 6.8% year-on-year, but the segment's gross profit increased by 31.99% to 1.194 billion yuan due to reduced operating costs [2] - The new energy segment's installed capacity reached 6.7158 million kW, a year-on-year increase of 27.23%, contributing to revenue growth in wind and solar power [3] - The gas power segment generated 3.132 billion kWh, with revenue of 2.452 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.48% [4] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company’s net profit forecast for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 4.230 billion, 4.376 billion, and 4.595 billion yuan, representing year-on-year increases of 7.24%, 3.45%, and 5.00% respectively [4] - Corresponding P/E ratios are projected at 9.17, 8.87, and 8.45 times for the same period [4]