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电投能源(002128):基本面维持平稳,静待白音华煤电资产收购落地

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [5] Core Views - The company reported a stable performance in its fundamentals, awaiting the completion of the acquisition of the Baiyinhu coal and power assets [1] - The coal and electricity sectors are under short-term pressure due to declining prices and production volumes [2] - The electrolytic aluminum segment showed stable performance, with domestic aluminum prices remaining high [2] - The company is positioned for future growth with significant capacity expansion plans and a focus on green energy [3] - Profit forecasts have been adjusted, with expected net profits for 2025-2027 at 55.31 billion, 60.17 billion, and 62.57 billion respectively [3] Financial Performance Summary - For H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 14.464 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.38%, and a net profit of 2.787 billion, a decrease of 5.36% [1] - The coal segment's revenue for H1 2025 was 4.381 billion, down 2.67% year-on-year, while the thermal power segment's revenue was 0.800 billion, down 5.66% [2] - The electrolytic aluminum segment generated revenue of 7.970 billion, up 3.06% year-on-year, despite a decrease in gross profit [2] - The company is expected to achieve revenue growth rates of 0.20%, 11.23%, 4.32%, 14.40%, and 8.11% from 2023 to 2027 [3] Capacity and Growth Potential - The company is the sole platform for coal, thermal power, and electrolytic aluminum resource integration in Inner Mongolia under the State Power Investment Corporation [3] - The acquisition of Baiyinhu assets will add 15 million tons/year of lignite capacity, 2.62 million kW of thermal power, and 40.53 thousand tons/year of electrolytic aluminum capacity [3] - The company is advancing the construction of the Zaha Naohuer 350,000 tons green electricity aluminum project, expected to be operational by the end of 2025 [3] - The green transition is accelerating, with significant contributions from wind and solar power segments, which saw gross profits increase by 53.18% and 41.23% respectively [3]