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新凤鸣(603225):上半年盈利能力修复,Q2业绩同比、环比提升

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][5] Core Views - The company has shown a recovery in profitability in the first half of 2025, with total revenue reaching RMB 33.49 billion, a year-on-year increase of 7.10%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 709 million, up 17.28% year-on-year [3][8] - The second quarter of 2025 saw revenue of RMB 18.93 billion, representing a 12.57% year-on-year growth and a 30.06% quarter-on-quarter increase [10] - The company is expected to benefit from the release of new production capacity, which supports the positive outlook and the "Buy" rating [3][5] Financial Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 6.42%, an improvement of 0.41 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The company’s main products, including polyester filament and PTA, have shown varying performance, with PTA revenue significantly increasing to RMB 4.65 billion from RMB 1.18 billion in the same period last year [8] - The company’s EPS forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 0.98, RMB 1.19, and RMB 1.39 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 15.9x, 13.1x, and 11.3x [5][7] Business Performance - The company has established a vertically integrated business model from PTA to polyester and spinning, enhancing operational efficiency [8] - The company is actively exploring the industrialization of bio-based materials, indicating a strategic move towards sustainable products [8]