Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for the company [2][9]. Core Views - The company's performance in the first half of 2025 is under pressure year-on-year, with a slight decline in pre-tax profit after excluding the impact of the Hong Kong international corporate tax reform [9]. - The peak season for refined oil transportation is expected to improve performance in the second half of the year, and the company is likely to enhance its dividend yield options [3][9]. - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to HKD 22 billion, 24 billion, and 25 billion respectively, considering the impact of income tax [9]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to decrease from HKD 4,034 million in 2024 to HKD 3,606 million in 2027, reflecting a decline of 3% to 6% over the years [5]. - Gross profit is expected to increase slightly from HKD 2,952 million in 2024 to HKD 2,973 million in 2027 [5]. - Net profit (excluding minority interests) is forecasted to grow from HKD 2,106 million in 2024 to HKD 2,435 million in 2027, with a growth rate of 2% to 8% [5]. - The company’s PE ratio is projected to range from 4.84 to 5.48 over the forecast period, while the PB ratio is expected to remain between 0.75 and 0.81 [5]. Market Data - The current stock price is HKD 1.90, with a market capitalization of HKD 11,779 million and a total share count of 6,199 million [6]. - The stock has traded within a range of HKD 1.50 to HKD 2.29 over the past 52 weeks [6]. Dividend Outlook - The company plans to increase its dividend payout ratio from 40% in 2024 to a potential 50%, which could raise the dividend yield from 7.3% to 9% [9].
中国船舶租赁（03877）：更新报告：税制改革影响业绩，税前利润保持平稳