XZCE(SZ:002534) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-09-18 08:13Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Accumulate" rating for the company [2][8][10]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leading player in the waste heat boiler sector, with significant growth potential in solar thermal and energy storage markets, alongside active expansion in nuclear power and solid oxide fuel cells (SOFC) [5][6][10]. - The company has a robust order backlog of 6.119 billion yuan as of June 30, 2025, providing a solid foundation for future revenue [7][10]. - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are estimated at 443 million, 510 million, and 604 million yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 28, 24, and 20 times [10][11]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company has transitioned from a focus on waste heat boilers to a diversified clean energy equipment and solutions provider, with a strong emphasis on energy efficiency and low-carbon development [17][20]. - It is recognized as the largest and most comprehensive manufacturer of waste heat boilers in China, with a market share exceeding 50% [5][20]. 2. Business Segments - The main business segments include waste heat boilers, clean energy equipment, and comprehensive energy solutions, with a notable increase in revenue from clean energy equipment, which reached 1.025 billion yuan in 2024, a 33% year-on-year increase [20][23]. - The solutions segment has shown strong growth, accounting for over 50% of revenue in the first half of 2025, reflecting robust demand in high-energy-consuming industries [20][23]. 3. Market Position and Growth Drivers - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence, with overseas sales accounting for 13.82% of total revenue in the first half of 2025, a 48.79% increase year-on-year [5][6]. - The company has made significant advancements in molten salt energy storage technology, participating in various demonstration projects and positioning itself for growth in solar thermal power and flexible coal-fired power generation [6][12]. 4. Financial Performance - The company's revenue experienced fluctuations, with a decline to 6.437 billion yuan in 2024, but net profit surged to 440 million yuan, a 705.7% increase from the previous year [38][39]. - The financial outlook remains positive, with expectations of continued profit recovery driven by improved product mix and cost management [39][40].