YILI(SH:600887) Haitong Securities International·2025-09-18 09:03Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2][5]. Core Views - The company demonstrates prominent operational resilience and is waiting for a cyclical upturn [1][3]. - The company has a solid brand advantage and steady momentum from diversified businesses, with significant growth in milk powder and dairy products [3][12]. - The company is focused on innovation and long-term growth, with plans to expand high-end product offerings and international markets [5][16]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of RMB 61.933 billion, a year-on-year growth of 3.37%, with a net profit of RMB 7.2 billion [3][11]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are RMB 118.61 billion, RMB 121.62 billion, and RMB 128.55 billion, with respective growth rates of 2.4%, 2.5%, and 5.7% [5][17]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be RMB 11.02 billion, RMB 12.33 billion, and RMB 13.06 billion for the same period, with growth rates of 29.1%, 12.0%, and 6.0% [5][17]. Business Segments - Liquid milk revenue was RMB 36.126 billion, a decrease of 2.1%, while low-temperature plain milk revenue grew over 20% [3][12]. - The milk powder and dairy products segment saw a revenue increase of 14.3%, with infant formula market share at 18.1% [3][12]. - Frozen drinks revenue increased by 12.4%, maintaining industry-leading retail shares [3][12]. Cost Control and Efficiency - The company's gross profit margin improved from 34.91% to 36.05%, reflecting effective cost control [4][13]. - Sales and management expense ratios decreased by 1.11 percentage points and 0.15 percentage points, respectively [4][13]. - The company has strengthened cooperation with upstream and downstream partners to enhance channel efficiency [4][14]. Strategic Focus - The company aims to drive liquid milk business recovery and maintain growth in other segments while focusing on high-end product development [5][15]. - Plans include expanding into Southeast Asia and enhancing product offerings in international markets [5][16]. - The company is leveraging digital tools for refined management and operational efficiency [4][14].