Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price set for the next six months [6][4]. Core Views - The company has demonstrated solid and steady growth, with a revenue increase of 8% year-on-year in Q2 2025, reaching 4.2 billion yuan, and a net profit increase of 12%, totaling 310 million yuan. For the first half of 2025, revenue was 7.9 billion yuan, up 7%, and net profit was 550 million yuan, up 11% [1]. - The company is actively pursuing globalization, having established over 40 production bases and 4 service centers across 10 countries and 40 cities, which enhances its supply chain optimization and risk diversification [2]. - The company's strong brand influence, market expansion capabilities, and productivity levels are key factors impacting its performance. The company is enhancing its operational capabilities to adapt to market changes and customer needs [3]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company's revenue from premium paper packaging was 5.5 billion yuan, up 5%, while revenue from packaging supporting products was 1.3 billion yuan, up 3%, and revenue from environmentally friendly paper-plastic products was 580 million yuan, up 7% [1]. - Domestic revenue decreased by 2% to 5.1 billion yuan, while overseas revenue increased by 27% to 2.8 billion yuan [1]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 4.30 yuan per 10 shares to all shareholders [1]. Financial Forecast Adjustments - The revenue forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 18.9 billion yuan, 21.1 billion yuan, and 23.8 billion yuan, respectively. The expected net profit for the same period is projected to be 1.6 billion yuan, 1.9 billion yuan, and 2.3 billion yuan, respectively [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 1.7 yuan, 2.1 yuan, and 2.5 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 15, 13, and 11 times [4].
裕同科技(002831):成长扎实稳健