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南华期货国债期货日报-20250922

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View The report suggests paying attention to the central bank's attitude. It anticipates that the central bank will mainly use open - market operations to maintain a stable money market before the holiday. Traders should adopt a range - bound trading strategy and avoid chasing high prices [1][3]. 3. Key Points from Different Sections 3.1. Market Review - On Monday, bond futures rebounded across the board, and spot bond yields declined. The central bank started to inject cross - quarter funds through 7 - day and 14 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a total of 540.5 billion yuan and a net injection of 260.5 billion yuan. The money market continued to ease compared to last week, and the DR001 rate dropped to 1.43% [1]. 3.2. Intraday News - The September LPR quotes remained unchanged, with the 5 - year - plus LPR at 3.5% and the 1 - year LPR at 3%. - Pan Gongsheng stated that the financial reform content for the "15th Five - Year Plan" and beyond will be further communicated after the central government's unified deployment [2]. 3.3. Market Analysis - There was no incremental positive news in the market today. The unchanged LPR quote in the morning met expectations, and the press conference in the afternoon on the achievements of the 14th Five - Year Plan for financial development had no incremental policy information. The market rebound was mainly a correction of the pessimistic sentiment on Friday [3]. 3.4. Futures Data | Contract | 2025 - 09 - 22 Price | 2025 - 09 - 19 Price | Price Change | 2025 - 09 - 22 Position (Lots) | 2025 - 09 - 19 Position (Lots) | Position Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | TS2512 | 102.396 | 102.358 | 0.038 | 76,728 | 75,499 | 1,229 | | TF2512 | 105.76 | 105.63 | 0.13 | 151,551 | 148,476 | 3,075 | | T2512 | 107.945 | 107.755 | 0.19 | 251,433 | 249,865 | 1,568 | | TL2512 | 115.09 | 114.88 | 0.21 | 169,375 | 169,501 | - 126 | | TS Basis (CTD) | - 0.0141 | - 0.0347 | 0.0206 | TS Main Contract Volume (Lots) | 28,858 | 35,797 | - 6,939 | | TF Basis (CTD) | 0.0369 | - 0.0542 | 0.0911 | TF Main Contract Volume (Lots) | 50,317 | 92,239 | - 41,922 | | T Basis (CTD) | 0.1268 | 0.019 | 0.1078 | T Main Contract Volume (Lots) | 79,097 | 140,197 | - 61,100 | | TL Basis (CTD) | 0.6336 | 0.4458 | 0.1878 | TL Main Contract Volume (Lots) | 113,691 | 179,539 | - 65,848 | [4][5]