Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company, predicting a relative increase of 5% to 15% compared to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [10]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 22.583 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 106.89%. The net profit attributable to the parent company, after deducting non-recurring gains and losses, reached 451 million yuan, a staggering increase of 14,722.34% [5][6]. - The snack wholesale business continues to grow significantly, with revenue doubling year-on-year. The snack wholesale segment generated 22.345 billion yuan in revenue, a 109.33% increase compared to the previous year [5][6]. - The company has consolidated its brands under "Haoxianglai," which is the first snack wholesale chain in the industry to exceed 10,000 stores. As of the end of the reporting period, the company operated 15,365 stores across 29 provinces, with a net addition of 1,169 stores during the period [5][6]. - The company has a strong presence in East China, with 8,727 stores, accounting for 56.8% of the total store count. This strategic focus on East China is expected to enhance the overall profitability of the company [5][6]. - The gross margin for the wholesale business improved to 11.49%, an increase of 0.62 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin reached 3.85%, up 2.53 percentage points year-on-year [5][6]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts earnings per share (EPS) of 5.84 yuan, 9.08 yuan, and 10.96 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. Based on the closing price of 171.55 yuan on September 19, the corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are projected to be 29.35, 18.90, and 15.65 [6][7]. - Revenue is expected to grow significantly, with projections of 52.373 billion yuan in 2025, 63.895 billion yuan in 2026, and 71.562 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 62.00%, 22.00%, and 12.00% respectively [7][8]. - The net profit is projected to reach 1.097 billion yuan in 2025, 1.703 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.057 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 273.58%, 55.33%, and 20.75% respectively [7][8]. Key Financial Metrics - As of June 30, 2025, the company reported a net asset value per share of 8.65 yuan, a diluted return on equity (ROE) of 29.07%, and a debt-to-asset ratio of 68.95% [2][5]. - The company has maintained a strong cash flow, with operating cash flow per share at 6.92 yuan [2]. - The company’s market capitalization stands at 28.039 billion yuan, with a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 19.84 [1][2].
万辰集团（300972）：量贩业务保持高增，盈利水平大幅提升