TK(SZ:002117) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-09-22 12:52Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Accumulate" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company, Donggang Co., Ltd., has a solid foundation in printing business and is rapidly developing in smart cards and robotics. The company has been expanding its smart card business since 2010 and has seen significant growth in revenue and profit in recent periods [7][18] - The smart card business is experiencing explosive growth due to increasing demand in various sectors, including banking and social security, while the printing business is stabilizing after previous electronic impacts [8][21] - The company is also leveraging its channel advantages to explore high-potential robotics markets, which are expected to contribute to future revenue growth [8][27] Summary by Sections 1. Smart Card Business - The smart card business has seen explosive growth, with revenue increasing significantly in recent periods. The company achieved a revenue of 1.62 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 133.8% [7][21] - The demand for smart cards is stable, driven by the need for higher security and functionality compared to traditional magnetic stripe cards. The global demand for smart cards is expected to reach 9.58 billion units by 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.9% from 2021 to 2024 [7][48] 2. Technical Services - The company is diversifying its technical services, including electronic ticketing and archival storage, which are expected to grow as industry penetration increases. The revenue from technical services is projected to grow steadily [8][27] - The company is also exploring opportunities in AI and robotics, with the global robotics market expected to grow at a CAGR of 16.4% from 2023 to 2028 [8][27] 3. Printing Business - The printing business is stabilizing after being significantly impacted by the shift to electronic invoicing. The company is focusing on improving production efficiency and expanding its market share in personalized color printing and commercial labels [8][21] - The gross margin for the printing business improved to 35.8% in the first half of 2025, reflecting effective cost control measures [8][27] 4. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 188 million yuan, 228 million yuan, and 276 million yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 19.3%, 20.9%, and 21.1% respectively [8][27] - The current market capitalization corresponds to price-to-earnings ratios of 32, 27, and 22 for the years 2025 to 2027, indicating potential upside based on industry comparisons [8][27]