JAC(SH:600418) Changjiang Securities·2025-09-23 01:05Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company [11][13]. Core Views - The company is a well-established domestic automaker leveraging state-owned assets for diversified development. The dual-track resilience of commercial and passenger vehicles solidifies growth foundations, while the collaboration with Huawei enables entry into the ultra-luxury intelligent vehicle segment [5][10]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Jianghuai Automobile, established in 1964, is a comprehensive automotive enterprise integrating research, production, sales, and service across commercial and passenger vehicles. The company is controlled by the Anhui Provincial State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, with Volkswagen also holding shares through a joint venture [8][23][25]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 42.116 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 6.28%. The commercial vehicle segment accounted for over 50% of total revenue. The net profit attributable to shareholders was -2.741 billion yuan, a 60% decrease year-on-year, primarily due to losses from the Volkswagen Anhui joint venture and asset impairments [8][29][31]. Commercial Vehicle Segment - The commercial vehicle sector has a diversified layout centered around the Jianghuai 1 card, with light trucks maintaining a leading position in exports. In 2024, the export volume reached 36,000 units, marking 14 consecutive years at the top of the industry. The passenger vehicle segment has undergone brand integration and model simplification, focusing on three main brands: Jianghuai, Ruifeng, and Yi [9][42]. Ultra-Luxury Intelligent Vehicle Segment - The ultra-luxury vehicle market, priced above 600,000 yuan, is stable, with 464,000 units sold in 2024. The report highlights the significant growth of domestic brands, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 187% from 2020 to 2024. The collaboration with Huawei has led to the launch of the Zun Jie S800, a high-end intelligent luxury sedan, which has shown strong market potential [10][11][75]. Future Profit Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 3.97 billion yuan, 3.807 billion yuan, and 7.479 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The current market valuation corresponds to price-to-earnings ratios of 288.07, 30.01, and 15.28 times for the same years [5][11].