兴业银锡（000426）：优质资源多点开花，银锡龙头拾级而上

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Recommended" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leading player in the silver and tin industry, with a strong resource base and ongoing expansion projects that are expected to enhance its competitive edge and profitability [1][5]. Summary by Sections 1. Continuous Growth of Silver and Tin Leader - The company has a rich resource base in silver and tin, with significant mining assets acquired over the years, including Silverman Mining and Qianjinda Mining [9]. - The company has seen substantial revenue growth, with a projected revenue of 4.27 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 15.2% [2][15]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 1.53 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 57.8% [2][15]. 2. Quality Resources Flourishing, Strengthening Competitive Edge - The company is actively expanding its silver and tin resource layout, with ongoing projects such as the expansion of Silverman Mining, which will increase its processing capacity from 1.65 million tons/year to 2.97 million tons/year [3][33]. - The acquisition of Yubang Mining, ranked as the fifth largest single silver mine globally, is expected to enhance the company's silver resource reserves significantly [3][34]. - The company is also set to acquire Atlantic Tin, which will further bolster its tin resource base and international presence [3][43]. 3. Silver: Favorable Supply and Demand Dynamics - The global silver supply has been slightly declining, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -0.5% from 2016 to 2024, while industrial demand is expected to grow, particularly from sectors like electric vehicles and AI applications [3][5]. - The report anticipates a continued shortage in global silver supply, which may lead to price increases [3][5]. 4. Tin: Scarcity of Resources and Demand Elasticity - The global tin production is projected to decrease, with a forecast of 300,000 tons in 2024, down 1.6% year-on-year [5]. - The demand for tin is expected to rise significantly due to the growth of the AI industry, which will drive the need for semiconductor materials [5]. 5. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 5.50 billion yuan, 6.56 billion yuan, and 7.65 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with net profits projected at 2.03 billion yuan, 2.49 billion yuan, and 2.97 billion yuan respectively [2][5]. - The report emphasizes that the company's ongoing resource expansion and favorable market conditions for silver and tin will likely lead to accelerated earnings growth [5].