VGT(SZ:300476) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-09-23 06:45Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [6][7]. Core Insights - The company is a global leader in AI PCB, benefiting from the expansion of computing power demand and technological upgrades. It focuses on high-end HDI and high-layer PCBs, with significant revenue growth projected in the coming years [6][19]. - The global AI/HPC PCB market is expected to grow from approximately $6 billion in 2024 to $15 billion by 2029, with a CAGR of 20.1% [44][45]. - The company has established a strong position with key clients and advanced technology, allowing it to capitalize on the structural expansion trend in AI PCBs [7][10]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 20,705 million, 33,379 million, and 51,722 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 92.9%, 61.2%, and 55.0% [5][8]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 5,518 million, 9,939 million, and 15,573 million yuan for the same period, with growth rates of 378%, 80.1%, and 56.7% [5][8]. - The company’s gross margin is projected to improve, reaching 38.7% in 2025 and stabilizing at 42.6% by 2027 [5][8]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company ranks first globally in AI/HPC PCB sales, with significant market shares in high-end HDI and high-layer PCBs [23][24]. - It has a strong collaborative development approach with key clients, which enhances its technological edge and market position [6][10]. - The company has a robust production capacity, with plans to expand further in Thailand and Vietnam, aiming for increased output in high-end products [31][32]. Technology and Product Development - The company is advancing towards high-frequency, high-layer, and high-end HDI technologies, which are critical for meeting the demands of AI computing applications [51][52]. - It has achieved significant milestones in mass production capabilities, including 6-layer 24-layer HDI and 70-layer high-multilayer PCBs [6][10]. - The focus on R&D and technological upgrades is expected to drive future profitability and market share growth [36][43].