奥飞数据（300738）：EBITDA同比高增，资源充沛扩张能力突出

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 23.02 CNY [7]. Core Views - The company has demonstrated strong growth in EBITDA and has significant expansion capabilities, particularly in the IDC sector, benefiting from high demand in the AI era [2][6]. - Despite a decline in revenue in Q2, the overall growth momentum in the IDC services is expected to rebound in the second half of the year [3][5]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.148 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 8.20%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 87.89 million CNY, up 16.09% [1]. - The IDC service revenue reached 895 million CNY in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 42.22%, with EBITDA increasing by 50.87% to 594 million CNY [2]. - The company’s Q2 revenue was 612 million CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 9.97%, while net profit for the same period was 36 million CNY, up 43.37% [3]. Expansion and Assets - As of June 2025, the company operates 14 self-built data centers across various cities, with over 57,000 operational cabinets and ongoing large-scale data center projects [4]. - Fixed assets reached 7.88 billion CNY, up from 6.28 billion CNY the previous year, indicating robust expansion capabilities [4]. Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 33.49%, with Q2 gross margin at 35.17%, showing a continuous upward trend [5]. - The report anticipates that as the overall cabinet utilization rate improves, both revenue and profits will continue to grow significantly [5]. Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 200 million CNY, 288 million CNY, and 412 million CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 113, 79, and 55 [6].