Precise(SZ:300442) Western Securities·2025-09-24 03:31Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, Runze Technology (300442.SZ) [3][16]. Core Insights - Runze Technology is a leading player in the park-level IDC sector, benefiting from abundant reserves, strong location advantages, a favorable customer structure, and financing cost advantages through REITs. The company is expected to fully benefit from the upward trend in IDC demand. EBITDA projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 3.689 billion, 4.953 billion, and 6.388 billion yuan respectively [1][3][16]. Industry Analysis - Demand in first-tier cities and surrounding areas remains strong, with third-party IDC service providers expected to gain market share. The demand is driven by the transition from cloud computing to AI, with a significant increase in construction efforts. The supply side's core competitiveness lies in resource endowments, with third-party IDC service providers likely to enhance their market share due to efficiency and flexibility advantages. The industry is trending towards green electricity, liquid cooling, and clustering [1][2][58][65]. Competitive Advantages - Runze Technology's competitive edge is solidified by its location, customer, and financing advantages. The company has strategically positioned itself around first-tier cities and key nodes, with a total of 61 planned intelligent computing centers and 320,000 cabinets. The company adopts a "self-invest, self-build, self-operate" model, ensuring efficiency and stability. It has established deep partnerships with operators, binding high-quality end customers [2][24][30]. Financial Performance - The company has shown stable financial performance, with revenue for the first half of 2025 reaching 2.496 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.3%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 882 million yuan, a decrease of 8.7%. The IDC business accounted for 64.7% of total revenue, while the AIDC business grew by 37% [30][33][41]. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 5.806 billion, 8.441 billion, and 10.618 billion yuan, with growth rates of 33.0%, 45.4%, and 25.8% respectively. The gross margin is expected to improve gradually, reflecting the company's operational efficiency and market positioning [11][16].