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威高骨科(688161):盈利快速释放,海外迎来突破

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 42.63 CNY, based on a 49x PE for 2026 [4][7]. Core Views - The company has shown rapid profit release and has made breakthroughs in overseas markets, with a focus on expanding market share and improving sales models [2][12]. - The revenue for the first half of 2025 was 740 million CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 1.3%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 140 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 52.4% [12]. - The company is actively expanding its product lines in innovative areas such as minimally invasive spine surgery and digital orthopedics, achieving a 19% year-on-year increase in overseas revenue [12]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 1,652 million CNY, 1,860 million CNY, and 2,072 million CNY, respectively, with corresponding net profit estimates of 314 million CNY, 348 million CNY, and 390 million CNY [4][6]. - The gross margin is expected to remain stable around 65.5% to 65.2% over the forecast period, with a net profit margin projected to increase from 19.0% in 2025 to 18.8% in 2027 [6][14]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 0.79 CNY, 0.87 CNY, and 0.97 CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4][14]. Market and Operational Insights - The company has successfully navigated the challenges posed by centralized procurement policies, leading to improved profitability through market share gains and cost management [12]. - The sales expense ratio decreased by 10.6 percentage points year-on-year to 26.5% in the first half of 2025, reflecting effective cost control measures [12]. - The company is focusing on a digital factory strategy to enhance efficiency and reduce costs, with a gross margin of 66.5% in the first half of 2025, an increase of 2.4 percentage points year-on-year [12].