GEPIC(SZ:000791) Xinda Securities·2025-09-24 09:42Investment Rating - The investment rating for Gansu Energy is "Buy" [2]. Core Viewpoints - Gansu Energy is a leading provincial power platform under Gansu State-owned Assets, with diversified development in thermal, hydro, wind, and solar power [5][14]. - The company has a total installed capacity of 7,539.7 MW, with thermal power accounting for 4,000 MW, hydro power 1,700.2 MW, wind power 1,103.5 MW, and solar power 736 MW as of the first half of 2025 [5][14]. - The acquisition of a 66% stake in the Changle Power Plant significantly boosts revenue and profit, with projected revenues increasing to CNY 8.695 billion in 2024 and net profit to CNY 1.644 billion [5][20]. Summary by Sections 1. Gansu Energy as a Core Power Platform - Gansu Energy has transformed into a clean energy operator with a focus on thermal, hydro, wind, and solar power projects, supported by its major shareholder, Gansu Electric Power Investment Group [14]. - The company has seen steady growth in its clean energy segment, with revenues increasing from CNY 2.268 billion in 2019 to CNY 2.641 billion in 2023, representing a CAGR of 3.88% [20]. 2. Thermal Power - The Changle Power Plant is a key asset, with its first phase being the only supporting thermal power project for the "Long Electric into Hunan" initiative [31]. - The plant benefits from low fuel costs due to its proximity to Xinjiang coal sources, which are more stable and cheaper compared to other regions [31][39]. 3. Hydro Power - Gansu Energy's hydro power segment consists of small hydro plants, contributing to stable revenue and profit, with a total installed capacity of 1,700.2 MW [6][20]. - The company also holds a significant stake in Guotou Xiaoshanxia, which contributes approximately CNY 100 million annually to its investment income [6]. 4. New Energy - The company has a total of 1,103.5 MW of wind power and 736 MW of solar power installed, with significant growth potential in the future [8]. - Gansu Energy has secured approval for new energy projects totaling 6,100 MW, indicating strong future growth prospects [8]. 5. Potential Asset Injection - The parent company has additional thermal power assets totaling 4.67 GW, which could be injected into Gansu Energy, enhancing its capacity and profitability [8][9]. 6. Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The forecasted net profits for Gansu Energy are CNY 1.971 billion, CNY 2.272 billion, and CNY 2.374 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 10.68, 9.27, and 8.87 [8][9].