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益丰药房(603939):经营持续稳健,看好盈利能力提升:益丰药房2025年半年报点评

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Yifeng Pharmacy with a target price of 36.00 CNY [6][13]. Core Views - The report highlights that the overall off-hospital pharmaceutical retail industry remains under pressure, but Yifeng Pharmacy, as a leading player in the pharmacy sector, maintains a steady operational rhythm and continues to enhance its profitability. There is optimism for a recovery in performance growth in the second half of the year [2][13]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 22,588 million CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 13.6%. By 2025, revenue is expected to reach 24,690 million CNY, reflecting a growth rate of 2.6% [4]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 1,412 million CNY in 2023, increasing to 1,749 million CNY by 2025, which represents a growth of 14.4% [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 1.16 CNY in 2023 to 1.44 CNY in 2025 [4]. - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 14.4% in 2023, slightly increasing to 14.8% by 2025 [4]. Operational Insights - As of the first half of 2025, Yifeng Pharmacy operates 14,701 stores, with 10,681 being directly operated and 4,070 franchised. The pace of store expansion has slowed, with 81 new stores opened and 272 closed in the first half of the year [13]. - Retail business revenue for the first half of 2025 is reported at 101.99 billion CNY, showing a decline of 1.91% year-on-year, while the gross margin improved by 1.04 percentage points to 41.99% [13]. Product Performance - Revenue from traditional Chinese and Western medicine is reported at 88.99 billion CNY, with a slight year-on-year increase of 0.24%. The gross margin for this segment increased by 0.77 percentage points to 35.62% [13]. - Non-pharmaceutical revenue has faced challenges, with a reported decline of 2.44% year-on-year [13].