长安汽车（000625）：新能源放量，全球化与智能化打开新空间

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of 15.40 CNY for the next six months, based on a current price of 12.11 CNY [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the company's focus on expanding its new energy vehicle (NEV) offerings, alongside its globalization and smart technology initiatives, which are expected to create new growth opportunities [1][8]. Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 72.69 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 5.3%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 2.29 billion CNY, down 19.1% year-on-year [6][22]. - The company’s sales volume increased by 1.6% to 1.355 million units, marking the highest level for the same period in eight years [6][22]. - The gross margin improved to 14.6%, up 0.8 percentage points year-on-year, indicating enhanced profitability in core operations [6][22]. Business Analysis - The company’s NEV sales reached 452,000 units in the first half of 2025, representing a 49.1% year-on-year increase, outperforming the industry average [6][22]. - The company plans to launch 35 new smart NEV models over the next three years, establishing a strong product pipeline for long-term growth [6][22]. - The traditional fuel vehicle segment remains stable, with key models maintaining market leadership, while overseas sales grew by 5.1% to 299,000 units in the first half of 2025 [6][22]. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The report forecasts EPS of 0.77 CNY, 0.95 CNY, and 1.12 CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [6][68]. - Given the anticipated rapid growth in NEV sales and the expansion of overseas markets, the report assigns a 20x PE ratio for 2025, leading to a target price of 15.40 CNY [6][68].