HWHG(SH:600079) Capital Securities·2025-09-25 08:54Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company [1]. Core Views - The company is undergoing a significant transformation with the completion of a change in its actual controller, which is expected to bring new development opportunities [7][24]. - The core subsidiary, Yichang Renfu, has a strong competitive advantage in the anesthetics market, supported by increasing surgical volumes and the promotion of new products [7][25]. - The company's R&D system is well-established, with innovative results expected to gradually materialize [7]. - The company's revenue and profit forecasts indicate a positive growth trajectory, with expected revenues of 256.74 billion yuan in 2025 and a net profit of 19.35 billion yuan [4][7]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Renfu Pharmaceutical has been focusing on becoming a leader in niche markets within the pharmaceutical industry, optimizing its asset quality through a "core focus" strategy [15]. - The company has exited non-core businesses, leading to a decrease in its debt levels and interest expenses [15][19]. Financial Performance - Revenue is projected to grow from 254.35 billion yuan in 2024 to 290.37 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 6.3% [4][7]. - The net profit is expected to increase from 13.3 billion yuan in 2024 to 28.44 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a significant recovery and growth potential [4][7]. Subsidiary Performance - Yichang Renfu, a key subsidiary, is positioned as a leading manufacturer of anesthetics, benefiting from high entry barriers in the industry and a favorable competitive landscape [25][28]. - The sales of anesthetic products have shown consistent growth, with a notable increase in the sales volume of key products like sufentanil and remifentanil [28][30]. Market Trends - The domestic surgical volume is expected to continue growing, driven by an aging population and increased healthcare demand [42]. - The anesthetics market is expanding, with applications in various medical fields, including intensive care and pain management [43][49].