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东北固收转债分析:金25转债定价:首日转股溢价率28%-33%
  1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The target price of Jin 25 Convertible Bonds on the first trading day is estimated to be between 128 and 133 yuan, and investors are advised to actively subscribe [20]. - The estimated first - day new - bond subscription winning rate is around 0.0121% - 0.0149% [21]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Jin 25 Convertible Bonds New - Bond Analysis and Investment Suggestions 3.1.1 Convertible Bond Basic Terms Analysis - The issuance methods of Jin 25 Convertible Bonds are priority placement and online issuance, with both the bond and issuer rated AA. The issuance scale is 2 billion yuan, the initial conversion price is 63.46 yuan, the bond parity on September 24, 2025, is 99.78 yuan, and the pure bond value is 98.93 yuan. The game terms (downward revision, redemption, and put - back clauses) are normal. The bond has high issuance scale, good liquidity, acceptable rating, and good bond - floor protection. It is easy for institutions to include in their portfolios, and there is no objection to primary - market participation [16]. 3.1.2 New - Bond Initial Listing Price Analysis - Considering the current market environment and parity level, the conversion premium rate of Jin 25 Convertible Bonds on the first listing day is expected to be in the range of 28% - 33%, corresponding to a first - day listing target price of around 128 - 133 yuan. The company is a group - based mining listed company mainly engaged in mining services and mining resource development [20]. 3.1.3 Convertible Bond New - Bond Subscription Winning Rate Analysis - Assuming the old - shareholder placement ratio is 41% - 52%, the scale available for the market is 951 million - 1.175 billion yuan. Assuming the online effective subscription number is 7.89 million households, the winning rate when subscribing to the full quota is estimated to be around 0.0121% - 0.0149% [21]. 3.2 Underlying Stock Fundamental Analysis 3.2.1 Company's Main Business and Industry Upstream - Downstream Situation - The company's main business includes mining operation management, mine engineering construction, mining resource development, mine engineering design and research, and mining machinery equipment manufacturing. The upstream is the mining machinery equipment manufacturing industry, which has little impact on the company. The downstream of mining services is the mineral resource development industry, and the downstream of resource development is the mineral resource smelting, processing, and trading industry [22][23]. 3.2.2 Company's Operating Conditions - From 2022 to the first half of 2025, the company's operating income showed an upward trend, with year - on - year growth rates of 18.90%, 38.18%, 34.37%, and 47.82% respectively. The core business is mining operation management. The sales revenue of cathode copper, copper concentrate, and phosphate ore increased due to the acquisition of mines. The comprehensive gross profit margin and net profit margin increased steadily. The company's receivables' proportion of operating revenue decreased, and the accounts - receivable turnover rate increased. The net profit attributable to the parent company maintained high - speed positive growth [25][29][35]. 3.2.3 Company's Equity Structure and Major Subsidiaries - As of June 30, 2025, the equity structure was relatively dispersed. Jinchengxin Group was the largest shareholder with a 38.88% shareholding ratio. The top two shareholders held a combined 41.25% stake, and the top ten shareholders held a combined 52.47% stake. Wang Xiancheng, Wang Cicheng, Wang Youcheng, Wang Yicheng, and Wang Yicheng were the actual controllers, directly and indirectly controlling 43.16% of the company's shares [43]. 3.2.4 Company's Business Characteristics and Advantages - The company has advantages in technology R & D, deep - resource development services, talent, and equipment - maintenance - operation integration. It has rich experience in complex geological conditions, a large number of technical achievements, a high - quality talent team, advanced equipment, and a mature mechanized operation model [48]. 3.2.5 Current Raised - Capital Investment Arrangements - The raised funds after deducting issuance fees are planned to be used as follows: 800 million yuan for the Zambia Lubumbi Copper Mine Beneficiation Project (technical renovation), 800 million yuan for the mine mining operation and infrastructure equipment purchase project, 80 million yuan for the underground green unmanned intelligent equipment R & D project, and the remaining 320 million yuan for working - capital replenishment [14].