SMIC(SH:600810) EBSCN·2025-09-28 05:19Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, specifically an "Accumulate" rating [5]. Core Views - The strategic restructuring of the controlling shareholder is expected to achieve deep synergy within the industrial chain, enhancing operational efficiency and reducing homogeneous competition [2][3]. - The merger between China Pingmei Shenma Group and Henan Energy Group is a significant move, as both are major players in the energy sector with substantial assets and resources [2]. - The company is positioned to benefit from preferential policies in tax and capacity allocation, which may promote its development [3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The controlling shareholder, China Pingmei Shenma Group, is formed from two Fortune 500 companies with an asset scale exceeding 280 billion yuan, ranking 168th in the 2024 China Enterprise 500 list [2]. - Henan Energy Group, a key provincial enterprise, has coal reserves of 28.4 billion tons and a chemical product capacity of nearly 10 million tons [2]. Strategic Restructuring - The restructuring aims to integrate the "coal-coke-chemical-new energy" industrial chain, which could lead to cost reductions and a shift towards high-end, green development in the company's nylon chemical industry [3]. - The merger is seen as a key initiative for the provincial government's state-owned enterprise reform [2]. Financial Forecasts - The company is projected to have net profits of 45 million yuan, 89 million yuan, and 132 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.04 yuan, 0.09 yuan, and 0.13 yuan [3]. - Revenue is expected to grow from 12.92 billion yuan in 2023 to 19.68 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of approximately 12.6% [4]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides a P/E ratio forecast of 248 for 2025, decreasing to 85 by 2027, indicating an improving valuation outlook as earnings grow [4][12]. - The company is identified as a leader in the domestic nylon chemical industry, with ongoing capacity expansion and a focus on high-value downstream sectors [3].