SWSC(SH:600369) Southwest Securities·2025-09-29 03:16Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - The listing of the second batch of Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETFs led to a sharp increase in the share of credit - bond ETFs, while other types of bond ETFs faced different challenges. The performance of existing ETFs was under pressure, possibly due to the diversion of funds by new - issued ETFs, and the net value of bond ETFs adjusted due to the upward pressure on bond market yields [2][4][9]. Summary by Directory 1.1 各类债券 ETF 份额走势 - The listing of the second batch of 14 Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETFs on September 24, 2025, led to a significant increase in the share of credit - bond ETFs. Other types of bond ETFs, such as treasury - bond, policy - financial - bond, local - bond, and convertible - bond ETFs, either had small changes or declines in share. As of September 26, 2025, the shares of treasury - bond, policy - financial - bond, local - bond, credit - bond, and convertible - bond ETFs were 684.71 million, 443.12 million, 80.18 million, 6869.38 million, and 5310.15 million respectively, with a total of 13387.53 million shares for bond - type ETFs. Compared with September 19, 2025, the changes were 12.28 million, - 17.61 million, no change, 1193.45 million, and - 78.70 million respectively, with a total change of 1109.42 million shares [2][4][9]. 1.2 主要债券 ETF 份额及净值走势 - The performance of existing major bond ETFs was under pressure, possibly because the market focused more on new - issued Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETFs, causing a siphon effect on funds. As of September 26, 2025, the shares of selected major bond ETFs (30 - year treasury - bond ETF, policy - financial - bond ETF, 5 - year local - bond ETF, urban - investment - bond ETF, and convertible - bond ETF) changed by - 0.14 million, - 17.72 million, no change, 0.10 million, and - 11.80 million respectively compared with September 19, 2025. - Due to the upward pressure on bond market yields, the net value of major bond ETFs adjusted. As of September 26, 2025, the net values of 30 - year treasury - bond ETF, policy - financial - bond ETF, 5 - year local - bond ETF, urban - investment - bond ETF, and convertible - bond ETF changed by - 0.48%, - 0.17%, - 0.03%, - 0.13%, and 0.88% respectively compared with September 19, 2025 [12][15]. 1.3 做市信用债 ETF 份额及净值走势 - The share of 8 existing market - making credit - bond ETFs continued to flow out. As of September 26, 2025, the share changes compared with September 19, 2025 were - 2.00 million, - 5.20 million, - 0.30 million, no change, - 3.00 million, 3.10 million, no change, and - 2.30 million respectively. - The net - value decline of 8 credit - bond ETFs narrowed marginally. As of September 26, 2025, the net - value changes compared with September 19, 2025 were - 0.24%, - 0.24%, - 0.26%, - 0.20%, - 0.34%, - 0.32%, - 0.34%, and - 0.32% respectively. - Last week, the repeated inclusion of individual bonds in the PCF list of credit - bond ETFs was 24 Zhongmei K2. The product of the excess - return change and the corresponding duration of each expanded bond was the highest for 24 Jingtou K6 (1.93%) and the lowest for 24 Zhongmei K2 (- 0.25%) [19][20][22]. 1.4 科创债 ETF 份额及净值走势 - On September 24, 2025, the second batch of 14 Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETFs were officially listed, with a total issuance scale of 40.786 billion yuan. The ETFs tracking the CSI AAA Science and Technology Innovation Bond, SSE AAA Science and Technology Innovation Bond, and Shenzhen AAA Science and Technology Innovation Bond indexes were 10, 3, and 1 respectively. - The net - purchase scale of the second - batch Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETFs showed differentiation. Since the listing on the 24th, the market activity of the second - batch products was significantly higher than that of the first - batch products. The three - day average turnover rates of the first and second batches were 26.0% and 66.7% respectively, and the total net - purchase shares were 72 million and 690 million respectively. The top three products with the most net - purchase inflows last week were Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Industrial Bank, Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF ICBC, and Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Huatai - PineBridge, with net - purchase amounts of 10.2 billion, 8.48 billion, and 8.11 billion yuan respectively. - The products corresponding to the CSI AAA Science and Technology Innovation Bond index performed relatively better. In terms of premium and discount, in the first 3 working days after listing, the overall performance of the second - batch Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETFs was better than that of the first - batch products, with a three - day average premium - discount rate of - 0.02%, 0.15bp higher than that of the first batch. - The share increase of Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETFs came from new - issued funds. As of September 26, 2025, the top three products in terms of share were Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Harvest, Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Penghua, and Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF China Merchants, with shares of 198.23 million, 191.38 million, and 184.67 million respectively, and the share changes compared with September 19, 2025 were - 0.38 million, 17.60 million, and 39.05 million respectively. As of September 26, the cumulative share of new - issued products was 1296.6 million. - The net values of the second - batch products were generally in the forefront. As of September 26, 2025, the top three products in terms of net value among 24 Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETFs were Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Yongying, Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Yin Hua, and Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Taikang, with net values of 0.9988, 0.9984, and 0.9983 respectively [25][26][28]. 1.5 部分债券 ETF 净流入情况 - In terms of weekly inflows, the top three bond ETFs with the highest cumulative inflows this week were Treasury - bond ETF Dongcai, Benchmark Treasury - bond ETF, and National - Development - Bond ETF, with inflows of 8.98 million, 8.42 million, and 0.17 million yuan respectively. - In terms of monthly inflows, the top three bond ETFs with the highest cumulative inflows this month were Urban - investment - bond ETF, 30 - year Treasury - bond ETF, and Benchmark Treasury - bond ETF, with inflows of 84.65 million, 15.31 million, and 14.37 million yuan respectively. - In terms of cumulative inflows in trading days, the top three bond ETFs with the highest cumulative inflows in the past 10 trading days were Treasury - bond ETF Dongcai (9.59 million yuan), Benchmark Treasury - bond ETF (6.02 million yuan), and Urban - investment - bond ETF (4.58 million yuan); the top three in the past 20 trading days were Urban - investment - bond ETF (84.65 million yuan), 30 - year Treasury - bond ETF (15.31 million yuan), and Benchmark Treasury - bond ETF (14.37 million yuan) [5][30].