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伟星股份(002003):新一期股权激励方案出炉,预计中期形势好于短期

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 15.84 yuan [3][4][10]. Core Views - The company has released a new equity incentive plan, reflecting its judgment on the medium-term operating situation, with expectations for improvement in the second half of the year [2][9]. - The earnings forecast has been adjusted, with expected earnings per share for 2025-2027 revised to 0.58, 0.64, and 0.75 yuan, down from previous estimates [3][10]. - The company anticipates challenges in 2025, but expects gradual improvement starting in 2026, with a more accelerated recovery in 2027 [9][10]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2023A to 2027E are as follows: 3,907 million yuan, 4,674 million yuan, 4,863 million yuan, 5,210 million yuan, and 5,707 million yuan, with growth rates of 7.7%, 19.7%, 4.0%, 7.1%, and 9.5% respectively [3][14]. - Operating profit is expected to be 673 million yuan in 2023A, increasing to 1,057 million yuan by 2027E, with growth rates of 14.4%, 26.7%, -3.4%, 10.5%, and 16.1% [3][14]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to rise from 558 million yuan in 2023A to 876 million yuan in 2027E, with growth rates of 14.2%, 25.5%, -2.8%, 10.7%, and 16.2% [3][14]. - The gross margin is expected to improve from 40.9% in 2023A to 42.7% in 2027E, while the net margin is projected to increase from 14.3% to 15.3% over the same period [3][14]. Market Context - The company operates in the textile and apparel industry, which is currently facing challenges due to weak domestic demand and international trade friction [9][10]. - The new equity incentive plan aims to align management performance with market expectations, considering the current economic environment [9].