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商汤-W(00020):2025 年中报点评:生成式AI放量,1十X战略拓阔成长边界

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for SenseTime, with a target price of 2.62 HKD [1][12]. Core Insights - SenseTime's generative AI revenue in H1 2025 increased by 72.7% year-on-year, indicating strong growth potential [1][12]. - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 4.76 billion RMB, 5.94 billion RMB, and 7.45 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1][12]. - The "AI+" policy is anticipated to catalyze the expansion of the company's visual and X business segments [1][12]. Financial Summary - For H1 2025, SenseTime reported a revenue of 2.36 billion RMB, a 35.6% increase year-on-year, with a gross profit margin of 38.5% [13][14]. - The adjusted net loss for H1 2025 was 1.16 billion RMB, which is a 50.0% reduction compared to the previous year [13][14]. - The company completed a placement of 1.67 billion Class B shares at 1.50 HKD per share to support operational and R&D investments [13]. Business Performance - Generative AI accounted for 77% of total revenue in H1 2025, with a revenue contribution of 1.82 billion RMB [14][15]. - The infrastructure side achieved stable operation with 5000 cards and 80% utilization, totaling 25,000 PetaFLOPS of computing power [14]. - Visual AI revenue reached 436 million RMB, with significant upgrades to the "Ark" platform, covering nearly 200 cities and 30,000 parks and buildings [15]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for the generative AI segment are expected to grow from 3.25 billion RMB in 2025 to 5.48 billion RMB by 2027 [9]. - The overall revenue growth rate is projected to be 26.27% in 2025, followed by 24.64% in 2026 and 25.49% in 2027 [9].