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九丰能源(605090):拟投资建设新疆煤制气,上游布局优质气源

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company plans to invest in the Xinjiang coal-to-gas project, securing upstream quality gas sources, with a total investment of 230.33 billion RMB for the second phase of the Xinjiang Qinghua project, which aims to produce 4 billion cubic meters of coal-to-natural gas annually [7] - The project has strong feasibility and security, with all necessary approvals in place and a solid supply chain for coal and water resources [7] - The projected annual profit for the coal-to-gas project is estimated at 1.48 billion RMB, with an internal rate of return (IRR) of 8.2% for total investment and 15.8% for equity [7] - The company maintains a profit forecast of 1.56 billion RMB, 1.80 billion RMB, and 2.13 billion RMB for 2025-2027, corresponding to a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14, 12, and 10 times respectively [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 26.57 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 10.91%, followed by a decline of 17.01% in 2024 [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 1.31 billion RMB in 2023, increasing by 19.81%, and then decreasing by 7.52% in 2025 [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 2.29 RMB, with a P/E ratio of 14.14 [1] - The company’s total assets are projected to reach 19.04 billion RMB by 2027, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 34.13% [8]