QuantumCTek(SH:688027) SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-09-30 15:01Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 550.41 RMB based on a 2026 PS of 100x [4]. Core Viewpoints - The company is positioned to benefit from strong policy support and is expected to accelerate its growth in the quantum technology sector, which has been highlighted as a core area for future industrial development by the government [2]. - The company has shown significant revenue growth across its business segments, particularly in quantum computing, which has seen a remarkable increase of 283.92% in revenue [3][28]. - The company is expected to gradually overcome its low profitability issues, with a forecasted return to profitability in 2025, driven by revenue growth and improved cost management [3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Established in 2009, the company focuses on the R&D, production, and sales of quantum communication, quantum computing, and quantum precision measurement products, holding strong technical and cost advantages [1]. - In 2024, the company raised 1.775 billion RMB through a private placement, with China Telecom Quantum Group becoming the controlling shareholder [1]. Investment Logic - The quantum technology sector is receiving increased government investment, with over 2 billion USD allocated in 2024, positioning the company for accelerated growth [2]. Growth Potential - Revenue from quantum computing, quantum communication, and quantum precision measurement reached 55.96 million, 51.74 million, and 8.57 million RMB respectively in the first half of 2025, with significant year-on-year growth [3][28]. - The company is optimizing operational efficiency and reducing costs, with a notable decrease in sales and management expense ratios [3][29]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - Projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 371 million, 566 million, and 900 million RMB, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 24 million, 37 million, and 87 million RMB [4][8]. - The company is expected to achieve a significant increase in profitability, with a forecasted EPS of 0.23 RMB in 2025 [4]. Business Segments - The company has a diversified product portfolio across three main areas: quantum computing, quantum communication, and quantum precision measurement, each contributing to its growth [15][25]. - The quantum communication segment is particularly strong, with the company being a leading supplier of quantum communication devices in China [15][34]. Market Trends - The quantum communication market is projected to grow significantly, with an expected market size of 93.7 billion RMB by 2025, driven by increasing demand for secure communication technologies [40][44].