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美力科技(300611):公司首次覆盖报告:深耕高壁垒弹簧赛道,国产替代与智能化双轮驱动成长

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2][9]. Core Insights - The company is a leading player in the Chinese spring industry, focusing on high-barrier markets and leveraging both domestic substitution and smart technology as dual growth drivers [5][6]. - The company has established deep partnerships with major domestic electric vehicle manufacturers such as Geely, BYD, and Li Auto, as well as stable relationships with international Tier 1 suppliers like WABCO and ZF [5][6]. - The company is expected to see significant profit recovery, with projected net profits of 190 million, 270 million, and 320 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to EPS of 0.92, 1.27, and 1.51 yuan [5][7]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company has a strong history of growth and expansion, becoming the first listed company in the Chinese spring industry in 2017 [17]. - It has undergone multiple acquisitions to enhance its industrial layout, including significant acquisitions in 2021 and 2024 to expand its product lines and global competitiveness [17][18]. 2. Industry Dynamics - The spring industry has high barriers to entry due to technological, financial, and customer-related challenges, with foreign companies still dominating the high-end market [32][33]. - The rise of domestic electric vehicle manufacturers is driving demand for suspension systems, with the market for springs expected to reach 431.24 billion yuan by 2030 [35][41]. 3. Customer Base and Technology - The company has established strong customer relationships with leading domestic and international automotive manufacturers, creating a robust customer barrier [44]. - It has accumulated significant technological expertise, holding 111 patents and continuously investing in R&D, with a 32% increase in R&D spending in 2024 [47][50]. 4. Growth Drivers - The company is investing 660 million yuan in smart suspension systems, anticipating significant market growth in this area, with the air suspension market projected to exceed 80 billion yuan by 2030 [55][54]. - The humanoid robot market is also seen as a new growth avenue, with the global robotics market expected to surpass 100 billion USD by 2035 [56][59]. 5. Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve rapid revenue growth, with projected revenues increasing from 1.37 billion yuan in 2023 to 3.14 billion yuan by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 24.2% [7][30]. - Profit margins are also expected to improve, with gross margins projected to reach 24.8% by 2027 [7][30].