AVIC (CHENGDU) UAS CO.(SH:688297) CMS·2025-10-08 09:04Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Add" for the company [4]. Core Insights - The signing of a significant contract with AVIC Technology, amounting to 615 million RMB (excluding tax), reflects the high prosperity of military trade, with expectations for substantial growth in domestic trade in the second half of the year [1][8]. - The company’s inventory reached a historical high of 3.628 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, a significant increase of 38.48% compared to the end of the previous year, indicating preparations for timely product delivery [8]. - The company plans to repurchase shares for employee stock ownership plans, demonstrating confidence in future development [8]. - Profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 indicate net profits of 290 million, 378 million, and 441 million RMB respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 116, 89, and 76 [8]. Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 2.664 billion RMB, with a year-on-year decrease of 4%. A significant recovery is expected in 2025 with a projected revenue of 3.375 billion RMB, reflecting a 393% increase [3][16]. - The company’s net profit for 2023 is estimated at 303 million RMB, with a forecasted loss of 54 million RMB in 2024, followed by a recovery to 290 million RMB in 2025 [3][16]. - The current market capitalization is approximately 3.36 billion RMB, with a current share price of 49.74 RMB [4]. Shareholder Information - The major shareholder is China Aviation Industry Group Co., Ltd., holding a 16.6% stake in the company [4].