WELLTECH(SZ:002058) Tianfeng Securities·2025-10-08 15:17Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for *ST Weir (002058) [5] Core Views - *ST Weir is undergoing a strategic transformation by acquiring a 51% stake in Zijiang New Materials for 546 million yuan, aiming to enter the high-growth lithium battery aluminum-plastic film sector [1][4] - The acquisition is expected to help *ST Weir mitigate its delisting risk and improve profitability by leveraging Zijiang's strong market position and customer relationships [1][4] Summary by Sections 1. Strategic Acquisition - *ST Weir has faced continuous losses in its traditional business and is at risk of delisting, prompting the need for transformation [1][15] - Zijiang New Materials is a leading player in the aluminum-plastic film market, with a 22.2% market share in China and a 14.6% global share, making it a suitable target for *ST Weir's strategic shift [1][17] - The acquisition plan is designed to ensure "shell protection and risk control," with clear key milestones and manageable funding [1][22] 2. Market Transformation Driven by Solid-State Batteries - The demand for aluminum-plastic films is expected to rise significantly due to the increasing adoption of solid-state batteries, which require enhanced film performance [2][24] - The global aluminum-plastic film market is projected to reach 1.39 billion square meters by 2030, with a market size of 16.07 billion yuan [2][30] 3. Zijiang New Materials' Competitive Edge - Zijiang is expected to achieve over 50 million square meters in shipments in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 26% and a capacity utilization rate of 50.6% [3][44] - The company has made significant technological advancements, including patents for high-temperature resistant materials and innovative packaging structures, positioning it as a leader in the industry [3][21] - Zijiang's strong customer base includes major players like BYD and ATL, and it is actively expanding into overseas markets [3][20] 4. Profitability Forecast - The report forecasts *ST Weir's revenue to grow significantly post-acquisition, with projected revenues of 884.49 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 444% [4][46] - The expected net profit for 2025 is projected at 227.52 million yuan, marking a substantial turnaround from previous losses [4][46]