Tesla(US:TSLA) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-10-09 15:12Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on "future industries" such as robotics, AI, and low-altitude economy, while recommending companies with strong growth potential and value [5][8]. Core Views - The fourth batch of "old-for-new" funds has been allocated, signaling the end of automotive subsidies, and starting next year, the exemption from purchase tax for new energy vehicles will be replaced by a halved tax, increasing costs for consumers [5][9]. - The report highlights the importance of monitoring companies with strong performance in Q3 and those with significant growth potential, such as Kobot, Xingyu, Jifeng, and Songyuan [5][8]. - The report emphasizes the need to pay attention to new energy vehicle manufacturers like NIO, JAC, Li Auto, and BYD, which are re-entering competitive sequences [5][8]. Industry Situation Update - In the 39th week of 2025, retail sales of passenger cars reached 650,000 units, a month-on-month increase of 27.95% but a year-on-year decrease of 1.02%. Traditional energy vehicles sold approximately 280,000 units, while new energy vehicles sold 370,000 units, with a penetration rate of 56.92% [5][8]. - The report notes a decline in raw material prices for both traditional and new energy vehicles, with indices dropping by 1.3% and 0.1% respectively over the past week [5][8]. Market Situation Update - The total transaction value in the automotive industry for the week was 379.87 billion yuan, with an average daily increase of 11.52%. The automotive industry index rose by 1.70% [5][8]. - The report indicates that 151 stocks in the automotive sector rose, while 133 fell, with the largest gainers being Shanzi Gaoke, Songyuan Shares, and Huamao Technology [5][8]. Investment Analysis Opinions - The report recommends focusing on domestic leading manufacturers such as NIO, Xiaomi, Xpeng, and Li Auto, as well as companies involved in the smart technology trend like Huawei and Jianghuai [5][8]. - It also suggests monitoring state-owned enterprise reforms, particularly with SAIC and Dongfeng, and highlights component manufacturers with strong performance growth and overseas expansion capabilities [5][8].