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银行理财2025年10月月报:销售新规冲击可控,股债均衡下产品转型-20251010

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the banking sector, indicating that it expects the sector to perform better than the market benchmark by over 10% in the next 6 to 12 months [5][40]. Core Insights - The impact of new fund sales regulations is manageable, with expectations that the formal implementation will likely occur in the second half of 2026, thus reducing the anticipated redemption pressure on bond funds [1]. - The overall scale of wealth management products has slightly decreased, with a total of 30.8 trillion yuan at the end of September, reflecting a month-on-month decline of approximately 0.4 billion yuan [1][12]. - A balanced allocation between equities and bonds is crucial for managing product value fluctuations while pursuing returns, likening bonds to an "engine" for stability and equities to an "accelerator" for growth [2]. - The development of multi-asset strategies is essential for creating diverse revenue sources and managing risks, with a focus on incorporating various asset classes such as commodities and derivatives [3]. Summary by Sections Market Trends - The weighted average annualized return of bank wealth management products in September was 1.68%, a decrease of 35 basis points from the previous month [11]. - The initial fundraising scale for newly issued products in September was 342.2 billion yuan, primarily consisting of fixed-income products [18]. Product Performance - Most maturing wealth management products in September met their performance benchmarks, with 2,141 closed-end products reaching their targets [27]. - The average performance benchmark for newly issued products in September was 2.42%, continuing a downward trend [18]. Asset Allocation - The primary assets in bank wealth management products include bonds, equities, and non-standard assets, with a focus on high-grade credit bonds [30].