UCAP(SH:688228) GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-10-10 15:10Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of 299.52 CNY [5]. Core Insights - The company is a leading player in AI digitalization and is entering the storage business through the acquisition of Jintaike, which is expected to drive significant revenue growth as the storage chip industry enters a long-term boom cycle [2][11]. - The company's revenue is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of 7.19 billion CNY in 2025, 9.53 billion CNY in 2026, and 11.91 billion CNY in 2027 [21][29]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is expected to be 694 million CNY, with a projected decline of 11% in 2024, followed by a recovery with growth rates of 16.4%, 32.6%, and 25% in the subsequent years [4][12]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 41 million CNY in 2023, dropping to 21 million CNY in 2024, but recovering to 37 million CNY in 2025 and reaching 55 million CNY by 2027 [4][12]. Revenue and Profitability Forecast - The digital energy segment is expected to generate 3.05 billion CNY in revenue in 2024, accounting for nearly half of the company's total revenue [15]. - The AI computing and large model business is projected to achieve revenues of 1.24 billion CNY in 2024, with significant growth rates of 50% and 100% in the following years [16]. - The storage business from the acquisition of Jintaike is anticipated to generate revenues of 38.40 billion CNY in 2025, 72 billion CNY in 2026, and 100 billion CNY in 2027 [21][29]. Valuation Analysis - The report utilizes both PE and PS valuation methods, estimating a reasonable valuation of 202.23 billion CNY for the company post-acquisition of Jintaike [22][28]. - The PE valuation for the company's traditional business is set at 175 times earnings for 2025, while Jintaike's storage business is valued at 80 times earnings [11][22]. Business Segments Overview - The company has a strong foundation in digital governance and has been a pioneer in the field for over 20 years, providing comprehensive solutions to government and enterprise clients [32]. - The AI content security business is expected to grow steadily, with revenues projected to increase by 5% to 10% annually from 2025 to 2027 [17]. Strategic Initiatives - The acquisition of Jintaike is a strategic move to enhance the company's capabilities in AI infrastructure, particularly in storage, which is crucial for the overall AI ecosystem [37].