Cambricon(SH:688256) First Shanghai Securities·2025-10-13 15:31Company Research - Tian Gong International (826) has a target price of HKD 4.38, representing a 44.56% upside potential from the current price of HKD 3.03[13] - The company reported a total revenue of approximately RMB 2.34 billion for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 7.1%[6] - Despite revenue pressure, the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by approximately 10.4% to RMB 203 million[6] Market Performance - The domestic mold steel market has stabilized, with sales volume down 5.2% but overall revenue up 2.3% to RMB 1.16 billion, and gross margin increased by 0.5 percentage points to 13.8%[7] - The high-speed steel segment saw a 10.4% decline in sales volume and a 9.6% drop in revenue to RMB 390 million, but gross margin improved by 4.4 percentage points to 32.5%[7] Future Outlook - Powder metallurgy materials are expected to be a significant profit growth point, with sales of 589 tons in the first half of 2025, a 66.4% increase, at a price of RMB 149,000 per ton[8] - The titanium alloy segment's revenue decreased by 9.4% to RMB 350 million, with a gross margin decline of 14.8 percentage points to 24.2% due to reduced sales in high-margin consumer electronics[9] Earnings Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 5.24 billion, RMB 6.08 billion, and RMB 6.93 billion, respectively, with net profits expected to be RMB 429 million, RMB 603 million, and RMB 810 million[10] - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is RMB 0.16, with a significant increase of 40.8% expected in 2026 to RMB 0.22[11] Investment Recommendation - The company maintains a "Buy" rating based on its growth potential in high-end materials and stable market recovery in the domestic mold steel sector[10]