Dongxing Securities Co.,Ltd.(SH:601198) Dongxing Securities·2025-10-14 05:09Core Viewpoints - External shocks have limited impact on the market, with the current environment significantly different from the April trade war phase, leading to a more resilient market outlook [4][6] - China's export situation remains stable despite trade tensions, with the proportion of exports to the US declining to around 10% in August, down from an average of 15%, indicating limited overall impact from potential tariff shocks [4][6] - The market's confidence has improved, with a notable decrease in index volatility and a shift towards a more bullish sentiment as key meetings and the 14th Five-Year Plan are anticipated [4][6] Market Trends - The A-share market is expected to maintain a slow bull trend, with core trends unchanged despite short-term external shocks, as the index stabilizes around the 4000-point mark [5][7] - Liquidity and the development of the high-tech industry remain two key drivers for the market's upward trajectory [5][7] Investment Strategy - A dual mainline investment strategy is recommended, focusing on the core position of the large technology sector while adjusting for potential disruptions from US-China tensions [5][7] - Cyclical sectors such as military, pharmaceuticals, and new energy are suggested for continued focus due to their favorable outlook [5][7] - High dividend yield stocks are becoming more attractive post-adjustment, appealing to conservative investors [5][7] Weekly Data Insights - The market experienced notable adjustments this week, with the growth enterprise market leading the decline [8] - The overall valuation of the A-share market remains within a reasonable range, with slight bubbles observed in major indices [17][20] Industry Valuation Distribution - Various sectors exhibit differing valuation metrics, with dynamic price-to-earnings ratios and price-to-book ratios indicating varying levels of market sentiment and investment attractiveness [20][21]