361度(01361):流水延续双位数增长,OneWay加快线下布局

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The company has demonstrated strong resilience in the retail environment, achieving approximately 10% year-on-year growth in both its main brand and children's clothing lines in Q3 2025, with e-commerce sales growing around 20% [8] - The company maintains a healthy inventory level with a stable discount rate, achieving a channel inventory turnover ratio of 4.5-5 times and a terminal discount rate close to 30% [8] - The company is innovating its channels significantly, with rapid expansion of its "super brand stores," opening 23 new stores in September alone, and plans to open at least 100 stores by the end of the year [8] - The product matrix continues to refresh, showcasing technological advancements in core categories, including new iterations of running shoes and basketball shoes [8] - The One Way brand is re-entering the offline market, focusing on the mid-to-high-end outdoor market, with new store openings and a product line adjustment to align with current outdoor trends [8] - The company has been deepening its operational capabilities in product, brand, and channel over the past two decades, positioning itself for sustained growth above industry averages [8] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for FY2023 to FY2027 are as follows: - FY2023: 84.23 billion RMB - FY2024: 100.7 billion RMB - FY2025E: 111.8 billion RMB - FY2026E: 121.4 billion RMB - FY2027E: 130.8 billion RMB - Net profit projections for the same period are: - FY2023: 9.6 billion RMB - FY2024: 11.5 billion RMB - FY2025E: 12.6 billion RMB - FY2026E: 13.9 billion RMB - FY2027E: 15.1 billion RMB - The company maintains a stable gross margin, projected to increase slightly from 41.1% in FY2023 to 41.9% in FY2027 [6][17]