Sanmei(SH:603379) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-10-14 07:46Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The company reported that its performance for the first three quarters of 2025 met expectations, with a projected net profit attributable to shareholders ranging from 1.524 to 1.646 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 172% to 193% [7] - The increase in profits is primarily attributed to a significant rise in the average price of fluorinated refrigerants, leading to improved profitability [7] - The company anticipates continued upward momentum in refrigerant prices and profitability in the fourth quarter, supported by expected recovery in export volumes and ongoing price increases [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2024: 4,040 million yuan - 2025: 6,569 million yuan (62.6% year-on-year growth) - 2026: 7,822 million yuan - 2027: 8,770 million yuan [6] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be: - 2025: 2,212 million yuan (184.1% year-on-year growth) - 2026: 2,984 million yuan - 2027: 3,723 million yuan [6] - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates are: - 2025: 3.62 yuan - 2026: 4.89 yuan - 2027: 6.10 yuan [6] Market and Price Trends - The average prices of mainstream refrigerants R32, R125, and R134a increased in the third quarter of 2025, with R32 reaching 57,647 yuan/ton, R125 at 45,500 yuan/ton, and R134a at 50,821 yuan/ton [7] - The company holds a total quota of 121,502 tons for various types of third-generation refrigerants, indicating significant pricing flexibility [7] - The company is also progressing with its fourth-generation refrigerant project, which aims to enhance its integrated industrial chain in fluorochemicals [7]