SAIC MOTOR(SH:600104) Changjiang Securities·2025-10-14 10:15Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7] Core Insights - In September 2025, the company achieved a total sales volume of 440,000 vehicles, representing a year-on-year increase of 40.4% and a month-on-month increase of 21.0%. Cumulatively, from January to September, total sales reached 3.193 million vehicles, up 20.5% year-on-year. The sales growth rate has been on an upward trend since March, indicating the effectiveness of ongoing reforms [2][12] - The report highlights that the sales performance across various segments, including joint ventures, independent brands, new energy vehicles, and overseas markets, continues to show positive momentum [12] Summary by Sections Overall Performance - The company reported a total sales volume of 440,000 vehicles in September 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 40.4% and a month-on-month increase of 21.0%. For the first nine months of 2025, total sales reached 3.193 million vehicles, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 20.5%. The sales growth has been consistently improving since March, showcasing the positive impact of reforms [12] Joint Ventures - Sales from joint venture brands have shown continuous improvement, with September sales for SAIC Volkswagen at 94,000 vehicles (up 0.1% year-on-year, up 8.7% month-on-month) and for SAIC General at 49,000 vehicles (up 124.4% year-on-year, up 12.7% month-on-month). Cumulatively, from January to September, SAIC Volkswagen sold 752,000 vehicles (down 2.5% year-on-year), while SAIC General sold 381,000 vehicles (up 36.7% year-on-year) [12] Independent Brands - The independent brand segment saw significant growth, with SAIC Passenger Cars selling 94,000 vehicles in September (up 72.4% year-on-year, up 25.5% month-on-month) and a total of 596,000 vehicles sold from January to September (up 23.8% year-on-year). The new model, IM LS6, launched on September 10, is expected to further boost sales [12] New Energy and Overseas Markets - New energy vehicle sales reached 189,000 units in September, marking a year-on-year increase of 46.5% and a month-on-month increase of 46.0%. For the first nine months, new energy vehicle sales totaled 1.083 million units, up 44.8% year-on-year. Exports and overseas sales amounted to 101,000 vehicles in September (up 12.2% year-on-year, up 14.0% month-on-month) and 765,000 vehicles from January to September (up 3.5% year-on-year) [12] Future Outlook - The company is undergoing internal reforms and enhancing collaboration with Huawei to accelerate its smart transformation. The ongoing reforms are expected to improve operational efficiency and drive sales growth for independent brands. The projected net profit for 2025 and 2026 is estimated at 13.02 billion and 14.98 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 14.8X and 12.9X [12]