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华源晨会精粹20251014-20251014

New Consumption - In September 2025, the GMV of the beauty category on Douyin increased by 19.7% year-on-year, while it decreased by 10.4% month-on-month [2][6] - The total GMV of the top 20 beauty brands on Douyin reached over 3 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 38.59%. Han Shu maintained the top position with a GMV exceeding 500 million yuan, and 40% of brands saw their GMV double [7][8] - Domestic brands showed strong performance in self-operated channels, with 60% of the top 20 beauty brands having a higher GMV contribution from self-operated sales than from influencer promotions [7][8] - The price distribution in the skincare category is relatively balanced, while the makeup and perfume categories heavily rely on affordable products. The price segment under 150 yuan accounted for 49.54% of the market [8] Real Estate - The real estate sector saw a decline of 0.8% this week, with new home transactions in 42 key cities totaling 980,000 square meters, a 51% decrease week-on-week [10][12] - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development is focusing on urban renewal and governance, with new regulations introduced in cities like Shenzhen and Chengdu to promote the construction of "good houses" [13][15] - The government is also increasing housing provident fund loan limits in cities like Nanjing and Shaoxing to support homebuyers [13][14] North Exchange - The research on solid-state lithium batteries has made significant progress, with new technologies enhancing the stability of metal lithium anodes [16][17] - The energy storage sector is rapidly developing, with a total of 1,663 energy storage stations in operation as of June 2025, totaling 75.79 GW/175.12 GWh [16][17] - The North Exchange has identified 24 companies in the energy storage industry, spanning upstream material production to downstream system operation [17][18] Pharmaceuticals - The pharmaceutical index rose by 0.36% this week, with expectations for innovative drugs to continue rapid growth and export businesses to perform well [28][29] - The market anticipates catalysts such as ESMO and BD meetings in October, which may stabilize and rebound the innovative drug sector [29][30] - Recommended stocks include innovative drug companies like Xinlitai, Hotgen Biotech, and China Biologic Products, as well as export-oriented firms like WuXi AppTec and Jiuzhou Pharmaceutical [29][34] Company Analysis - Mixue Group plans to invest 286 million yuan to acquire 51% of Fulu Family, expanding its brand matrix into the fresh beer market [36][37] - Fulu Family offers fresh beer products priced between 6 to 10 yuan per 500 ml, focusing on high-quality and affordable offerings [37][38] - The acquisition is expected to leverage Mixue's existing supply chain advantages to enhance its brand presence in the fresh beer sector [38]