UCAP(SH:688228) Haitong Securities International·2025-10-15 08:49Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Outperform" rating for the company, highlighting its potential in the AI and storage sectors [4]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leading player in AI digitalization, with a strategic acquisition of Jintaike to enter the storage business. The report anticipates that the company’s performance will exceed expectations due to a long-term boom in the storage chip industry and synergies from its AI and energy businesses [1][4]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 694 million in 2023, 618 million in 2024, 719 million in 2025, 953 million in 2026, and 1,191 million in 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 25.0% in 2023, a decline of 11.0% in 2024, and subsequent growth rates of 16.4%, 32.6%, and 25.0% in the following years [3][5]. - Net profit (attributable to the parent company) is projected to be 41 million in 2023, 21 million in 2024, 37 million in 2025, 49 million in 2026, and 55 million in 2027, with significant fluctuations in growth rates [3][5]. Revenue and Profitability Forecast - The company’s digital energy business is expected to generate 3.05 billion in revenue in 2024, accounting for 49.3% of total revenue, with a projected growth rate of 10% for 2025-2027 [10]. - The AI computing and large model business is anticipated to achieve revenues of 1.24 billion in 2024, with growth rates of 50%, 100%, and 50% for the following years [11]. - The storage business, post-acquisition of Jintaike, is projected to generate revenues of 38.40 billion, 72 billion, and 100 billion from 2025 to 2027, respectively, with growth rates of 62%, 88%, and 39% [15][13]. Valuation Analysis - The report employs both PE and PS valuation methods, estimating a reasonable valuation of 202.23 billion for the company post-acquisition, with a target price of 299.52 per share based on a 175x PE for traditional business and 80x PE for Jintaike's storage business [4][16][26]. - The company’s traditional business is conservatively valued at 63.99 billion based on a 175x PE, while Jintaike is valued at 138.24 billion based on an 80x PE [23][26]. Business Segments and Growth Drivers - The company has a robust foundation in digital governance, having served over 2,100 government clients, and is expanding into AI storage through the acquisition of Jintaike, which will enhance its AI infrastructure [27][33]. - The AI content security business is expected to grow steadily, with revenues projected at 0.95 billion in 2024 and a growth rate of 5% to 10% for the following years [12]. Strategic Initiatives - The acquisition of Jintaike is a strategic move to integrate storage capabilities into the company’s AI ecosystem, enhancing its competitive edge in the AI and storage markets [33].