ZJJH(SH:600160) Tianfeng Securities·2025-10-16 06:26Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking the first coverage [6]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leading player in the fluorochemical industry, with steady revenue and net profit growth projected from 2013 to 2024, driven primarily by refrigerants and basic chemical products [1][28]. - The introduction of production quotas for third-generation refrigerants in 2024 is expected to enhance the company's market position, allowing it to benefit from the industry's upward trend [2]. - The company has developed a comprehensive product portfolio in fluoropolymers and has established itself as a leader in several categories, including PTFE and PVDF [3][27]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Zhejiang Juhua Co., Ltd. was established in 1998 and is a leading manufacturer in the fluorochemical and chlor-alkali chemical sectors in China [17]. - The company is controlled by the Juhua Group, with over 60% of its gross profit derived from refrigerants [1]. Revenue and Profit Growth - From 2013 to 2024, the company's revenue is expected to grow from 9.7 billion to 24.5 billion yuan, with a CAGR of 8.7%, while net profit is projected to increase from 254 million to 1.96 billion yuan, with a CAGR of 20.4% [28]. - In 2024, the revenue composition is expected to be 38% from refrigerants and 17% from petrochemical materials, with refrigerants contributing 64% to the gross profit [28]. Product and Market Position - The company holds a 34% market share in the third-generation refrigerant production quota, leading the industry with significant shares in R32, R125, and R134a [2]. - The company has developed a series of electronic fluorinated liquids after years of research, enhancing its product offerings in the fluorochemical sector [3]. Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 4.44 billion, 5.43 billion, and 6.59 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding EPS of 1.65, 2.01, and 2.44 yuan [4]. - The current price-to-earnings ratio is projected to decrease from 22.66 in 2025 to 15.28 in 2027, indicating a favorable valuation compared to peers [4]. Strategic Developments - The company is expanding its basic chemical product offerings to support its fluorochemical business, with significant investments in advanced petrochemical materials [4][27]. - The food packaging materials segment is also a focus, with the company holding the top global position in VDC/PVDC production capacity [4].