LONCIN(SH:603766) Minsheng Securities·2025-10-16 14:19Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 15.2-16.2 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 69.1%-80.3% [1]. - The growth is driven by multiple business collaborations, with significant contributions from the Wujie brand and the all-terrain vehicle segment [1][4]. - The company has expanded its domestic and international sales channels, with a notable increase in export sales [2]. Summary by Sections Performance Overview - The company forecasts a net profit of 5.0 billion yuan for Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 60.5% [1]. - The sales volume of mid-to-large displacement motorcycles (over 250cc) reached 28,000 units in July-August, up 22.1% year-on-year [1]. - The all-terrain vehicle sales increased by 40.7% year-on-year, with the new XWolf1000 model contributing to the growth [1]. Brand Development - The Wujie brand achieved a revenue of 1.98 billion yuan in H1 2025, a 30.2% increase year-on-year, with exports accounting for 60.1% of sales [2]. - The brand's sales network expanded to 1,053 domestic outlets and 1,292 overseas outlets, with a significant presence in Europe [2]. Market Expansion - The sales of mid-to-large displacement motorcycles in 2024 and H1 2025 were 108,000 and 68,000 units, respectively, with exports showing strong growth [3]. - The Wujie brand has made significant inroads in the European market, with notable sales increases in Spain and Italy [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 20.16 billion, 23.41 billion, and 27.05 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 1.98 billion, 2.32 billion, and 2.71 billion yuan [4][5]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.96, 1.13, and 1.32 yuan, respectively [5].