ZANGGE MINING(SZ:000408) Minsheng Securities·2025-10-18 12:05Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [6][8]. Core Views - The company has shown strong performance in its financial results, with a significant increase in net profit and revenue for the first three quarters of 2025. The net profit reached 2.75 billion yuan, up 47.3% year-on-year, while revenue was 2.4 billion yuan, up 3.4% year-on-year [1]. - The company is expected to benefit from the strong performance of potassium, lithium, and copper segments, with significant growth potential anticipated in the coming years [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.4%, and a net profit of 2.75 billion yuan, up 47.3% year-on-year. The net profit for Q3 alone was 950 million yuan, reflecting a 66.5% increase year-on-year [1]. - The company’s operating costs per ton for lithium were reported at 41,000 yuan, with a decrease in costs noted in Q3 [2]. Lithium Segment - The lithium production line faced a temporary shutdown due to mining license issues, leading to a decrease in sales volume in Q3. The sales target for lithium carbonate was revised down from 11,000 tons to 8,500 tons for 2025 [2]. - The average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate in Q3 was reported at 73,000 yuan, a 12.7% increase from the previous quarter [2]. Potassium Segment - The potassium fertilizer prices remained strong, with the company’s selling price for potassium chloride at 2,679 yuan per ton, and 2,826 yuan in Q3 [3]. - The production and sales volume for potassium chloride in Q1-Q3 2025 were 702,000 tons and 784,000 tons, respectively [3]. Copper Segment - The company reported a copper production and sales volume of 143,000 tons and 142,000 tons for Q1-Q3 2025, with Q3 figures showing a slight increase [4]. - The LME copper price was reported at 9,821 USD per ton in Q3, reflecting a 3.7% increase [4]. Project Progress - The lithium production line at the Chaqi Lake has resumed operations as of October 11, 2025, following the resolution of licensing issues [5]. - The company is progressing with its expansion projects, including the second phase of the giant dragon project, which is expected to commence production by the end of 2025 [5]. Investment Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 3.68 billion yuan, 5.70 billion yuan, and 8.02 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 23, 15, and 11 [6][7].