SIEYUAN(SZ:002028) SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-10-18 13:01Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [6][12]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 13.83 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 32.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.19 billion yuan, up 46.9% year-on-year [2]. - The strong performance is attributed to the continuous release of overseas orders since Q2 2023, with exports of power transformers from China reaching 3.7 billion USD from January to August 2025, a 51% increase year-on-year [3]. - The company significantly increased its market share in domestic grid bidding, with a total winning bid amount of 4.81 billion yuan, a 73% increase year-on-year, driven by the unexpected growth in the Northwest power grid construction [4]. - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 32.3%, an increase of 0.9 percentage points year-on-year, with Q3 gross margin at 33.3%, up 2.3 percentage points year-on-year, indicating improved profitability [5]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 5.33 billion yuan, a 25.7% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 900 million yuan, up 48.7% year-on-year, exceeding expectations [2]. Operational Analysis - The overseas market revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 2.86 billion yuan, reflecting an 88.9% year-on-year growth, indicating a robust expansion in international business [3]. Market Positioning - The company’s winning bid amount in the fourth batch of State Grid's bidding was 14.12 billion yuan, a 16% increase year-on-year, contributing to a cumulative winning bid of 68.19 billion yuan, a 23% increase year-on-year [4]. Profitability Outlook - The company is expanding its business in high-margin sectors such as supercapacitors and lithium batteries, with expectations for further growth in the data center industry [5]. Financial Forecast - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 2.88 billion, 3.64 billion, and 4.56 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 41%, 26%, and 25% [6].