Hygon Information Technology (SH:688041) Guoxin Securities·2025-10-20 02:17Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][20][21] Core Views - The company reported a significant year-on-year revenue increase of 54.65% for the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 9.49 billion, while the net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 28.56% to 1.96 billion [1][8] - The revenue for Q3 2025 was 4.03 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 69.60% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 31.38 [1][8] - The growth in revenue is attributed to the rapid development of domestic artificial intelligence and the increasing demand for high-end chips in the domestic market [1][8] - The company’s gross margin for Q3 2025 was 60.0%, down 9.1 percentage points year-on-year but up 0.7 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to the increasing revenue share from lower-margin DCU products [2][18] - The company’s net profit margin for Q3 2025 was 29.78%, down 7.3 percentage points year-on-year and 0.5 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2][18] Financial Performance - The company’s total prepayments and inventory as of Q3 2025 were 2.62 billion and 6.50 billion, respectively, indicating continuous growth and improved supply-side conditions [3][20] - Contract liabilities stood at 2.80 billion, maintaining a historical high, which reflects strong product demand [3][20] - The company forecasts revenues of 15.53 billion, 21.21 billion, and 25.60 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profits expected to be 3.92 billion, 5.49 billion, and 6.39 billion for the same years [3][20][23] Valuation Metrics - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are projected to be 135, 97, and 83 for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [3][20] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to reach 16.3%, 18.7%, and 17.9% for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4][23]