Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate-A" rating to the company for the first time [2][7]. Core Insights - The company is positioned to benefit from the rapid growth of the instant delivery industry, with a projected CAGR of 18.9% from 2023 to 2028 [2][45]. - The company has achieved profitability for the first time in 2023, with a net profit of 0.51 billion yuan, and is expected to continue growing significantly in the coming years [3][5]. - The company leverages its unique position as an independent third-party instant delivery service provider, which is rare in the market, to capture growth opportunities [4][50]. Summary by Sections Market Data - The closing price as of October 20, 2025, is HKD 12.910, with a market capitalization of HKD 118.43 billion [2]. Investment Highlights - The company is benefiting from the demand for instant retail, with multiple growth drivers including the expansion of food delivery services and the rapid development of digital retail in lower-tier markets [2][4]. - The instant delivery industry is expected to see a significant increase in order volume, with a CAGR of 14.5% from 2023 to 2028 [2][45]. Company Analysis - The company is the largest independent third-party instant delivery service platform in China, covering major consumption scenarios such as food delivery, local retail, and near-field e-commerce [3][52]. - The company has achieved a net profit of 1.3 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 159% [3][5]. Financial Data and Valuation - Revenue is projected to grow from 12.39 billion yuan in 2023 to 41.47 billion yuan in 2027, with a CAGR of 52% from 2024 to 2025 [8]. - The company’s net profit is expected to reach 8.91 billion yuan by 2027, with a year-on-year growth of 52.4% [5][8]. Strategic Positioning - The company aims to become the "first brand in new consumption delivery," supported by its integration with SF Group and its independent third-party logistics capabilities [3][52]. - The company is expanding its service offerings through technological advancements such as AI and autonomous delivery solutions [4][50].
顺丰同城(09699):即时配送大平台,打造消费新基建