Yanjing Brewery(SZ:000729) Huachuang Securities·2025-10-21 06:04Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Yanjing Beer (000729) with a target price of 15.5 CNY [2][9]. Core Insights - Yanjing Beer reported a total revenue of 13.43 billion CNY for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.6%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.77 billion CNY, up 37.4% year-on-year [2]. - The company's U8 product line continues to show strong growth, with sales volume for Q3 slightly increasing to 1.1435 million kiloliters, driven by improved market conditions in September [9]. - Cost optimization has led to a decrease in unit costs by 2.8% to 2,125 CNY per kiloliter, contributing to a gross margin increase of 2.2 percentage points to 50.2% [9]. - The report highlights that the company is on track to meet its annual sales target of 900,000 tons for the U8 product, with a year-on-year growth of approximately 30% as of September [9]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024A, total revenue is projected at 14.667 billion CNY, with a growth rate of 3.2%. The net profit is expected to be 1.056 billion CNY, reflecting a significant growth rate of 63.7% [5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025E is 0.55 CNY, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 23 [5][9]. - The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-asset ratio of 32.55% and a net asset value per share of 5.62 CNY [6].